Dramatic change in the prognosis: WEO 2006 more and more oil production, Energy Watch Group 2007: decrease of oil production. Will the WEO 2008 be worse than EWG 2007?
The interview in "international politic" translated by me
Schneider: In the WEO 2007 is written that the decrease of oil production will be between 3.7 and 4.2 percent per year. Is this right?
This decrease is more steep, than in the prognosis of the energy watch group.
The IEA created until now demand oriented prognoses. The demand for crude oil will be, so this will be produced. The 27 OECD countires and the rest of the world trusted for decades this prognoses, which are now corrected very dramatic.
What would be, if the IEA would have made such a prognosis 15 years ago?
1993 as I did all possible to save the world by inhabited solar power plants from the clima catastrophe?
Maybe there would be only in Germany 1 million inhabited solar power plants producing 30 TWh electric power per year. Ohter roofs 50 TWh. The development for battery technology for mobility and storage of solar electric power would have been pushed as intensive as the Manhattan project.
It's the difference, is the warning before a diasterouse hurricane 3 days or 3 hours before arrival. When a weather station gives only 3 hours before arrival a warning will be blamed for total bungle.