Replace crude oil by electric power

The amount of electric power to replace an unit of fossile energy can, depending on application, be complete different.

Application	Fossil	kWh electricity	Proportion
Super sports car city traffic 100km	25 l gasoline	15.0	0.60
2 stroke scooter vs electric scooter 100km	4 l gasoline	5.0	1.25
Change heating to heat pump	1 l fuel oil	2.0	2.00
Renault Kangoo city traffic 100km	6.7 l Diesel	14.4	2.15
Renault Kangoo outside town 100km	4.7 l Diesel	19.6	4.17
High temperature for industrial procedures	1 l fuel oil	7,0	7,00
BMW 7 gasoline vs hydrogen 100km	13.7 l gasoline	202.8	14.59
Ship propulsion with hydrogen	1 l heavy oil	15.0	15.00

The amount of electricity to replace 1 litre of a crude oil product differs between 0.6 and 15 kWh. The exteme points are: :

High efficient electric propulsion vs huge volume gasoline engine with extreme partial load disadvantage in city traffic
Electrolysis, liquefaction and use of hydrogen vs high efficient ship diesel engine.

It's logical, applications where crude oil is replaced with the smallest amount of electric power will be replaced first.

This is the reason why electric super sports car like the Tesla and electric scooters came first on the market.

But with increasing crude oil shortage, raising crude oil prices and decreasing prices for photovoltaic will be the point reached, where for the shipowner hydrogen produced by 15 kWh solar electric power is cheaper the 1 litre heavy oil.

Editorial of PEGE
	Important questions about the future, reports and possible solutions. PEGE as an independent analyst of facts and designer of long term strategies outside of short sighted populisms.

Peak Oil
	The production of crude oil diminishes. Even the IEA tells this, which was always criticized for prognoses with much more oil production, in a dramatic turn around.

Replace crude oil by photovoltaic
	From all methods to produce energy is only with photovoltaic the magnitude reachable necessary to solve the problems of humanity.

Scenarios of energy development
	Description for the 4 different szenarios of photovoltaik world market development. Explanation for the increasing amount of electric power to replace 1 litre of crude oil.

Photovoltaic 30% yearly increase
	Against the prognosis of the Energy Watch Group, reduction of the crude oil production to 39 million barrels a day in 2030, is a 30% increase of the photovoltaic world market not enough.

Photovoltaic world production 50% yearly plus
	This szenario shows until 2020 a 50% yearly increase of production and later of 20% per year. To avoid an oil crisis would be a more fast increase better.

War economy: extreme increase of photovoltaic world production
	From 2010 to 2014 radical increase of the photovoltaic world production with 200% per year until 1000 GW yearly production is reached, further extension with 10% per year.

Rationality 1992
	What would be, if starting with 1992, the year I invented the GEMINI house, the photovoltaic world production would have been increased by 60% per year?

Difference 2018
	The prognosis for the crude oil production in 2018 is 63 million barrel per day. How much we pay for this, how hard we are hit by a recession, decides the politic today.

Biomass in the change of time
	Biomass is in the present seen as a supplier for energy, but this will change in the future to a supplier of raw material requiring energy for processing.

Biomass wood
	The wood ofen will become a luxury, instead of 4,3 kWh heat by burning, we will invest 10 kWh electric power to produce 1,65 methanol from 1 kg wood.

Dessert and dry areas
	A sea water desalination system supplied by solar electric power near the shore needs for the photovoltaic only 0.8% of the surface to irrigate with 500mm water a year.

Storage of electric power
	The biggest problem of photovoltaic is to bring offer and demand together. Study about possible solutions.

CO2 Carbon dioxide reduction
	It is not enough to reduce the increase of CO2 in the atmosphere. It is necessary to reduce the CO2 contained in the atmosphere to the amount in 1900.

5 kWh Lithium batteries per kW photovoltaic
	At an fast increase of photovoltaic, it will be soon necessary to store electric power and to feed the power equable in the power grid.